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Spring 2026 housing market: Buyers, sellers find balance

by Jacqui Mueller

. Sellers are entering the market with high expectations, yet more are preparing to negotiate.

The 2026 spring housing market is taking shape with a mix of confidence, adjustment and steady activity. Three new reports from Realtor.com, Homes.com and Zillow show a market that is neither surging nor stalled, but moving forward as both buyers and sellers adjust their expectations.

Seller sentiment remains notably strong. According to Realtor.com, 83% of potential sellers expect to receive their asking price or more, including 37% who believe they will get above asking and 46% who believe they will receive their asking price. Confidence extends beyond pricing. Seventy-four percent of sellers say it is a good time to sell, and three-quarters expect their homes to sell within four months.

That optimism, however, is increasingly paired with a willingness to compromise. In 2026, 39% of potential sellers anticipate making concessions to buyers, up from 30% last year. This shift suggests that while sellers remain confident in home values, they are also recognizing the practical realities of today’s market conditions.

Motivation is also becoming more focused. Forty-one percent of respondents cite profit as the most cited reason for selling, up from 36% in 2025. An equal share is looking for a different neighborhood or community, and 39% are moving for more space. Most are staying close to home, with eight in 10 planning to remain in the same state and more than half expecting to move within the same county. This signals that local market dynamics and community ties are center of mind for sellers.

“The sellers who are most likely to succeed this spring are the ones who are listing a well-priced, move-in-ready home and doing so before the summer surge in competition,” said Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com. “In markets where inventory is tighter — particularly across the Northeast and Midwest — motivated sellers are still in a strong position.”

On the demand side, Homes.com points to a market that is showing measurable signs of life. Existing-home sales reached approximately 282,000 in March, marking the first year-over-year increase for that month in five years. The gain signals renewed activity, but not a return to the urgency seen during COVID, for example.

Buyers are engaging with the market in a more deliberate way. Homes are selling at about a 1.5% discount to list price, and transactions are taking roughly two months to close. These figures indicate that negotiations are part of the process and that buyers are taking the time to evaluate options rather than rushing to secure a property.

Inventory levels are contributing to this balance. Supply has climbed to more than four months nationally, an increase from last year. While still within the range typically associated with a balanced market, the added inventory is giving buyers more choice and creating space for transactions to come together.

Regional differences continue to play a role in how these trends unfold. The Homes.com analysis highlights stronger activity in the Midwest and parts of the Northeast, while markets in the South and West are improving at a more gradual pace. These differences reflect varying affordability and past price growth, but conditions have improved across all regions compared with a year ago.

Zillow’s latest forecast provides a broader view of where the market is headed. The real estate company expects home values to rise just 0.3% by the end of 2026, pointing to a period of minimal price growth. Existing-home sales are projected to increase by 0.5% to 3.73 million, while the National Association of REALTORS® places sales at 4.13 million, representing a 1.6% gain.

Both projections have been revised downward from earlier expectations. The adjustments reflect ongoing affordability challenges and the continued impact of elevated mortgage rates. Rather than accelerating, the market is expected to expand at a measured pace, with modest gains in both pricing and transaction volume.

Taken together, these findings describe a housing market that is functioning, but with greater equilibrium than in recent years. Sellers are entering the market with high expectations, yet more are preparing to negotiate. Buyers are active, but their approach is more selective and measured. Inventory is no longer as constrained, allowing more transactions to move forward without creating significant downward pressure on prices.

As the spring season progresses, this dynamic continues to shape how transactions come together. The gap between expectation and outcome is narrowing as both sellers and buyers are adjusting at the same time.

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